Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.220026 0.234080 0.248837 0.265535 0.283959 0.303731 0.326639
2025-02-16 0.182102 0.201954 0.224160 0.251060 0.283070 0.320338 0.367605
2025-02-23 0.160256 0.183345 0.210445 0.245104 0.289011 0.343881 0.419505
2025-03-02 0.144368 0.169110 0.199249 0.239490 0.293161 0.364423 0.470262
2025-03-09 0.132907 0.158690 0.191067 0.235889 0.298395 0.386020 0.525612
2025-03-16 0.123815 0.150192 0.184169 0.232682 0.303026 0.406603 0.582866
2025-03-23 0.118712 0.146263 0.182661 0.236285 0.317252 0.442898 0.673069
2025-03-30 0.112122 0.139763 0.176983 0.233154 0.320701 0.462437 0.738670
2025-04-06 0.105150 0.132236 0.169242 0.226137 0.317053 0.469341 0.781825
2025-04-13 0.098998 0.125449 0.162046 0.219233 0.312660 0.474044 0.821461
2025-04-20 0.095924 0.122758 0.160498 0.220747 0.322135 0.504798 0.925644
2025-04-27 0.093673 0.121070 0.160247 0.224177 0.335134 0.544246 1.063982
2025-05-04 0.090093 0.117369 0.156897 0.222564 0.339489 0.568433 1.176982
2025-05-11 0.086377 0.113318 0.152825 0.219516 0.341060 0.587648 1.287022
2025-05-18 0.083254 0.109991 0.149669 0.217751 0.344846 0.612540 1.427842
2025-05-25 0.079970 0.106263 0.145669 0.214210 0.344780 0.628805 1.550861
2025-06-01 0.077143 0.103092 0.142362 0.211599 0.346221 0.648940 1.701158
2025-06-08 0.074538 0.100135 0.139229 0.209034 0.347423 0.668754 1.865158
2025-06-15 0.073302 0.099211 0.139290 0.212168 0.360770 0.722635 2.222794
2025-06-22 0.070996 0.096526 0.136330 0.209524 0.361419 0.742739 2.442399
2025-06-29 0.068183 0.092947 0.131737 0.203542 0.354125 0.739179 2.535207
2025-07-06 0.065539 0.089552 0.127317 0.197637 0.346486 0.733446 2.615399
2025-07-13 0.064388 0.088470 0.126714 0.198935 0.355306 0.778740 3.072476